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Third Quarter Results Clearly Show That Ford Is Making Tremendous Progress

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Khatir Soltani
Ford expects full-year 2009 U.S. industry sales will be about 10.6 million units, consistent with the guidance previously communicated by the company. In Europe, Ford now expects that full-year industry sales will be about 15.7 million units, which is higher than its previous guidance.

Ford expects fourth quarter 2009 production to be up compared with year-ago levels and third quarter 2009 production. This increase is to return to planned dealer stock levels and match production with market demand for Ford products.

Ford now expects full-year Automotive structural cost reductions of about $5 billion, exceeding its full-year 2009 target. These costs were reduced by $4.6 billion through the first nine months. Going forward, Ford expects structural costs to be relatively stable as the company has largely completed its significant restructuring actions over the past four years.

The company said it expects full-year U.S. and Europe market share to remain at about the same levels achieved during the first nine months.

Ford expects Automotive operating-related cash flow to be positive in the fourth quarter, based on the company’s present planning assumptions.

Ford now expects capital spending of about $5 billion, or slightly less. Capital expenditures through the first nine months were $3.4 billion; higher projected fourth quarter spending reflects the timing of Ford’s product launches as the company maintains its product plans.

Ford Credit expects to be profitable in the fourth quarter and for the full-year 2009. Next year, Ford Credit expects reduced profits based on lower average receivables and the non-recurrence of favorable 2009 factors.

Based on its recent performance and present planning assumptions, Ford is changing its full-year 2011 guidance for total company and North American Automotive operations from being “breakeven or better” to “solidly profitable” on a pre-tax basis excluding special items, with positive Automotive operating-related cash flow.

While the company has confidence that the global economy will be improving by 2011, the near-term growth outlook remains rather uncertain. Looking at 2010, there is a high likelihood of a substantial decrease in European industry volume as scrappage programs expire. This decrease could more than offset U.S. sales volumes, which may improve somewhat from this past quarter’s levels.

Ford expects to know more about the state of the global economic recovery and its impact on 2010 auto industry volumes in the coming months. Early next year, Ford will provide guidance on its 2010 planning assumptions and operational metrics when the company releases its full-year 2009 results.

“The third quarter is one the entire Ford extended team can be proud of because it proves that our product-led transformation is working,” Mulally said. “Leading indicators are now showing signs of recovery in all of our major markets, however, consumer confidence and labor market conditions remain a concern.”

“Despite the continued economic headwinds, we remain confident that we have the right plan and are taking the right actions to transform Ford into a lean company that delivers profitable growth for all our stakeholders,” Mulally added.
Khatir Soltani
Khatir Soltani
Automotive expert
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